Yellowhammer signposted the weakness. Two weeks after Brexit...Corona stress tests it.
A week after writing this, the US Health Dept. gets cyber attacked. With the light dimmed, if not off, they tried to enter the building. One cant help think this is simply a vulnerability test, rather than some pre-planned diversion. May be now more than ever, a few more 'noble lies'? Anyway they say 'follow the money' and clearly there is no one country that could gain hugely from another nation's demand for say, pharmaceutical products that they control the supply chain of...is there?
Put aside talk of conspiracy theories, or non-evidence-based panic, and simply examine the facts. The Government, MOD, Cabinet Office, now COBR all have their teams of strategists and planners tucked away in some Whitehall recesses, tasked with anticipating possible scenarios. Was this one of them?
Conspiracy theories are rife, and perhaps it really is coincidental that the level 4 (highest biosafety level) research laboratory was in Wuhan.. home of patient zero and the start of it all. However, let us for a minute suppose, in almost 'Holmesian' cynicism that there are no such things as coincidences. That is after all a reasonable starting point for any disaster planning scenario. If this were a war time issue, the events we have witnessed over the last twelve months, some more publicised than others, could sit well in the syllabus of day one "war strategies" at Sandhurst or West Point. The leaked Yellowhammer report gave our, let’s call them adversaries, a gift that in any traditional wartime scenario would be akin to an intelligence Fabergé. It signalled for all the world to see, where and when the UK infrastructure would be at its weakest. In this sense we are not talking about cyber warfare but rather physical, logistical issues involving population movements, distribution of supplies from abroad, transport networks, emergency services, financial side effect...and many more.
So, in a hypothetical war game scenario, the most opportune time to stress-test a system such as the UK's infrastructure, would be when you know it is at its weakest. That will undoubtedly have been planned for and anticipated way before yellow hammer. Two weeks after the UK left the EU, the corona virus (COVID-19) emerged as a significant threat not just to the UK but the world. It may well be a stretch too far to really believe this was a man-made event brought about to coincide with Brexit. The UK is probably not seen as that important to have mounted such a planned event. The coincidences are there for all to see, and in a world where information is free flowing, conspiracy theories will always flourish. All one can expect a Government to do is either provide cast iron denials or at the very least, alternative possible explanations. That is normally enough to silence the conspiracy theorists.
Either way, manufactured or not, if a possibility exists it has to be considered. To bastardise another Holmes reference, no matter how improbable the event, if we eliminate the impossible, whatever remains could be the truth. That being the case, if this were a traditional engagement then one should expect that as a system such as ours (and possibly the US next) is stress-tested by the sheer impact of an escalation on the spread of Corona, then it is now we have to be on our guard the most. If these events have affected the physical framework, a second wave of cyber-attack could be catastrophic. If one wanted to be particularly Tom Clancy about it, it might be the equivalent of taking out the lights of a building before the assault.
So, the behind the scenes planning will be immense and will have started possibly years ago. That is the job of the unsung egg heads. If that has not happened, and the UK is living this out in "real time", then we need more egg heads. COBR is an amalgamation of different branches brought together at no. 70, and one hopes that at this critical moment, the Government has its finger on the PR pulse to avoid mass panic. In nearly all conflict or emergency situations we are all aware of how important remaining calm is. This is where the British media has to be controlled as much as possible...ok it may not be democratic but tell that to Churchill in his early days in